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September 2024 Pricing Commentary

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The stock market in September was notably volatile, softening initially due to concerns over interest rates, geopolitics, weak third quarter seasonality, and the upcoming U.S. presidential election. However, a significant turnaround occurred in the latter half of the month, leading to positive returns for equity markets and all three ABC Funds.

The key event in September was the U.S. Federal Reserve’s unexpected decision to reduce its key lending rate by 50 basis points—signalling a major central bank monetary policy shift. We believe this action should stimulate both consumer and business spending and elongate the investment cycle. Additionally, inflation continued its downward trend during the period, falling to 2.5% and approaching the Fed’s target.

Top performers in our ABC Funds for September included Meta, Amazon, Micron, NVIDIA, ServiceNow, Broadcom, Carrier Global, and Otis Worldwide. More importantly, all three ABC Funds are outperforming their year-to-date benchmarks.

As we move into the fourth quarter, the combination of global monetary easing, declining inflation, major technological advancements, and a strengthening economic backdrop should set the stage for a period of renewed growth and optimism in the stock market and economy.

Irwin A. Michael Signature

Irwin A. Michael, President
I.A. Michael Investment Counsel Ltd.

August 2024 Pricing Commentary

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August was an extraordinarily volatile month for global equity markets, influenced by the unwind of the Japanese carry trade, continuing geopolitical tensions, and the looming November 5th U.S. Presidential election.

The significant appreciation of the Canadian dollar impacted our portfolios’ performance over the period, although our currency hedge provided a partial buffer against this increase.

Notable ABC Funds’ outperformers in August included Meta, Apple, Boston Scientific, ServiceNow, Carrier, Visa, Mastercard, and S&P Global.

Looking ahead, we maintain our positive outlook for the remainder of 2024 and beyond, encouraged by persistent corporate earnings strength, meaningful declines in interest rates, increasing political clarity, and the continued impact of transformative technological trends. Our portfolios remain fully invested with our diverse equity strategy to navigate and capitalize on future opportunities.

Irwin A. Michael Signature

Irwin A. Michael, President
I.A. Michael Investment Counsel Ltd.

July 2024 Pricing Commentary

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July was a mixed month for equity market performance after achieving respectable returns during the first half of 2024.

Understandably, in the context of a slower summer trading period there was significant common share price volatility. Market headwinds over the month included slowing economic growth, notable geopolitical tensions, and interest rate uncertainty. Additionally, the impending 2024 U.S. Presidential Election has kept investors on edge.

Despite the current investment negativity overhanging the marketplace, we remain optimistic and patient with regard to our diversified, large capitalization portfolios. We believe the glass is half full and there are a number of positive catalysts being overlooked, including ebbing inflation, solid corporate earnings, and transformational technological trends.

ABC Funds holdings that outperformed during the period included Brookfield Infrastructure Partners, Thermo Fisher Scientific, Danaher, S&P Global, Carrier, Canadian Pacific Kansas City, Apple, Mastercard, and ServiceNow.

Irwin A. Michael Signature

Irwin A. Michael, President
I.A. Michael Investment Counsel Ltd.

June 2024 Pricing Commentary

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In June, North American equity markets displayed mixed results, with the US stock market significantly outperforming its Canadian counterpart. All three ABC Funds not only exceeded their benchmarks but also reached new all-time highs during the month. This performance was largely driven by the funds’ US geographic focus, coupled with our strategic commitment to high-growth sectors, particularly technology.

The AI revolution remains a pivotal area of growth, fundamentally altering industries worldwide. Our ABC Funds are diligently capitalizing on this incredible technological transformation, with strategic investments in leading companies that are driving these remarkable advances.

For instance, on June 10th, Apple unveiled its new “Apple Intelligence” AI strategy. This announcement included a suite of advanced generative AI features such as an enhanced Siri, real-time transcription for calls, improved health monitoring tools, personalized emojis, and the integration of ChatGPT across all its devices. We see these developments as game-changing for Apple, which could spur significant growth by driving higher user engagement and opening up new revenue streams. Following these announcements, Apple’s stock surged, breaking past significant technical resistance levels to new all-time highs.

Additionally, after the close on June 12th, Broadcom reported impressive quarterly earnings results, exceeding Wall Street’s forecasts on both the top and bottom line while also increasing their financial outlook. The company’s success was driven by robust demand for their generative AI solutions, sending Broadcom’s stock price soaring to record levels. Furthermore, the company declared a 10:1 stock split, which further powered its investment attraction.

Other significant contributors to our funds’ performance in June included NVIDIA, ServiceNow, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, Adobe, and ASML. These companies continue to deliver outstanding financial results, further corroborating the strength of our ABC Funds’ investment strategy.

In a strategic move to enhance our portfolios, we added ARM Holdings to all three ABC Funds. Through our analysis, we recognized ARM as a pivotal player in the AI revolution, benefiting greatly from its leading-edge processor architectures that are crucial for AI and mobile technology.

As we enter the second half of 2024, our outlook remains optimistic. We are confident in our diversified, large capitalization portfolios that are strategically positioned in those sectors at the forefront of the AI revolution.

Irwin A. Michael Signature

Irwin A. Michael, President
I.A. Michael Investment Counsel Ltd.

May 2024 Pricing Commentary

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The month of May brought forward a significant recovery in equity markets, with global stock indices rebounding from April’s declines. Additionally, all three of our ABC Funds outperformed their benchmarks in May, setting new all-time highs.

The month saw standout sector performances from information technology, utilities, and communication services. We believe these sectors are at the forefront of the current bull market advance and are powering the artificial intelligence revolution.

NVIDIA, our funds’ most significant holding, continues to lead this charge. After the market close on May 22, NVIDIA delivered another exceptional ‘beat and raise’ earnings report which showcased the relentless demand for its AI solutions and its unrivalled dominance in driving technological innovation.

Jensen Huang, NVIDIA’s founder and CEO, aptly noted, “The next industrial revolution has begun — companies and countries are partnering with NVIDIA to transform traditional data centers into AI factories.”

Furthermore, the company announced a 10-for-1 stock split and increased their dividend. Reflecting these positive developments, NVIDIA’s share price surged over 25% in May.

Other notable contributors to our funds’ strong performance this month included Apple, Micron, ASML, Meta, Otis Worldwide, Royal Bank of Canada, and Brookfield Corporation.

Looking ahead, summer is traditionally a seasonally bullish period for equities, especially in a US election year. We remain optimistic and confident in our diversified, liquid, large capitalization portfolios. More importantly, we believe our funds are well-aligned with the sectors poised for future growth.

Irwin A. Michael Signature

Irwin A. Michael, President
I.A. Michael Investment Counsel Ltd.

April 2024 Pricing Commentary

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After five consecutive months of upward momentum, equity markets declined in April. This result was influenced by several factors including interest rate uncertainty, sticky inflation, geopolitical tensions, and general investor angst.

Despite these challenges, a number of positive elements reinforce our optimistic outlook. For instance, the economy remains strong, underlying market technicals are favourable, and current investor sentiment appears overly pessimistic. Additionally, corporate earnings have continued to surprise to the upside, with over 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing analyst expectations this quarter. Notably, ABC Funds heavyweights – Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon – all reported exceptional financial results in April. Artificial intelligence played a key role in their success, exemplifying its increasing importance as a driver of corporate growth. Adding to the positive news, Alphabet took an important step forward by announcing its first-ever dividend. Other ABC Funds standouts in April included: Carrier Global, Boston Scientific, and Trane Technologies.

As we enter the month of May, we are optimistic about the opportunities ahead. The current market negativity coupled with significant investor cash reserves, could set the stage for a major snapback rally into the summer with any unexpected positive catalysts.

Irwin A. Michael Signature

Irwin A. Michael, President
I.A. Michael Investment Counsel Ltd.

March 2024 Pricing Commentary

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Equity markets in March closed out the first quarter of 2024 on a strong note. This advance enabled the ABC Funds to rally to new all-time highs.

The month was characterized by broad-based gains which encompassed a wide range of sectors and geographies, reflecting robust global economic momentum and stock market resilience.

A notable investment decision taken early in the month was the addition of Micron Technology for all three ABC Funds. Micron stood out to us as an undervalued stock poised to benefit significantly from the artificial intelligence revolution. Furthermore, it was our view that Micron had been overlooked by investors given that the company offered excellent growth potential and a major turnaround opportunity. We believed the demand for high-bandwidth memory, essential for AI applications, positioned Micron as a key player, especially through its strategic partnership with NVIDIA for advanced memory solutions. On March 20th, Micron reported its quarterly earnings results announcing a spectacular beat and delivering an unexpected profit which lifted the stock to new all-time highs. Micron ended the month with a 30% gain, the highest in the S&P 500 for March.

Beyond Micron, March saw strong performances from other key ABC Funds’ holdings including NVIDIA, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, ASML, Canadian Pacific Kansas City, and Bank of Montreal.

Entering April, our positive outlook is underscored by expanding market breadth, solid corporate earnings results, continued North American economic growth, and significant uninvested investor cash reserves, all indicative of a robust and sustainable rally. Additionally, the spring is historically a strong seasonal period for stocks, especially in a presidential election year.

As we advance into the second quarter, we remain optimistic and fully invested in our well-diversified equity mix. Furthermore, our ABC Funds are strategically positioned and committed to key secular market trends and industries driving growth.

Irwin A. Michael Signature

Irwin A. Michael, President
I.A. Michael Investment Counsel Ltd.

February 2024 Pricing Commentary

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February was another positive month for equities, with global indices continuing their ascent. Our three ABC Funds not only outperformed their respective index benchmarks but also achieved new all-time highs, marking a continuation of our funds’ strong performance.

The standout event of February was NVIDIA’s blowout earnings report, which propelled the stock to new record highs. NVIDIA has emerged as the uncontested leader of the current bull market advance and is uniquely positioned at the heart of the artificial intelligence revolution. The company’s influence extends far beyond AI, playing a critical role in drug discovery and healthcare, robotics, industrial automation, interactive gaming, and automotive.

Jensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA, captured the company’s momentum in the earnings release when he stated:

“Accelerated computing and generative AI have hit the tipping point. Demand is surging worldwide across companies, industries, and nations.”

His remarks underscore the magnitude of the technological shift underway. We believe this represents the greatest advancement in technology since the industrial revolution and has presented our funds with unparalleled investment opportunities.

NVIDIA has been a cornerstone of ABC Funds for many years and remains a top pick, reflecting our strategic commitment to identifying and capitalizing on industry leaders. In addition to NVIDIA, other ABC Funds holdings that contributed notably to our February performance included Meta, Amazon, ASML, Broadcom, Waste Management, and Canadian Pacific Kansas City.

Moreover, the technicals remain bullish, with a broadening rally that now encompasses the industrials, healthcare, and financial services sectors, indicating strong market internals. This expansion reinforces our positive economic and investment outlook.

Looking ahead, we remain confident with our three well-diversified portfolios and expect their positive performance to continue throughout 2024.

Irwin A. Michael Signature

Irwin A. Michael, President
I.A. Michael Investment Counsel Ltd.

January 2024 Pricing Commentary

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All three ABC Funds outperformed their respective benchmarks in the month of January, powering forward to new all-time highs. The equity markets continued their upward trajectory, buoyed by strong performances from large capitalization stocks. Leading the way were sectors pivotal to innovation and the “new economy” – semiconductors, software, medical technology, and infrastructure. Moreover, companies at the forefront of the artificial intelligence revolution emerged as significant beneficiaries, reflecting the growing impact of AI across various sectors.

In January, our standout performers were NVIDIA, ASML, Meta, Microsoft, ServiceNow, Boston Scientific, and Broadcom. Their contributions were pivotal to our funds’ outperformance during the month.

Looking ahead to February, our outlook remains optimistic, underpinned by a resilient economy, the continued deceleration of inflation, and the prospect of declining interest rates later in 2024 — all contributing to a favourable backdrop for investment. Moreover, corporate earnings have been notably strong, as evidenced by Meta and Amazon—key holdings within our ABC Funds—which, after reporting their impressive earnings results and forward guidance after yesterday’s close, saw their stock prices increase by 20% and 7% respectively today. Meta also announced a $50 billion share buyback program and initiated its first-ever dividend.

Moving forward, our positive stance on the stock market, the broader economy, and our portfolio’s strategic positioning remains unchanged. We believe our ABC Funds are well-positioned to continue their trajectory of outperformance, capitalizing on the numerous opportunities that 2024 presents.

Irwin A. Michael Signature

Irwin A. Michael, President
I.A. Michael Investment Counsel Ltd.

December 2023 Pricing Commentary

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The remarkable stock market rally that began in late autumn extended into December, ending 2023 with strong performances across all major equity indices. Our ABC Funds capitalized on this positive momentum, adding to their meaningful year-to-date outperformance with additional December gains. Notably, all three ABC Funds ended the year reaching new all-time highs since inception. These strong results were driven by a number of key portfolio contributors including NVIDIA, Broadcom, ASML, Autodesk, Meta, Alphabet, Canadian Pacific Kansas City, Thermo Fisher Scientific, and Brookfield Corp.

Looking ahead to 2024, our optimism is underpinned by several key factors shaping the market landscape. First and foremost is our expectation of falling interest rates and more dovish central bank monetary policies. Any reduction in interest rates should be enthusiastically received by investors and provide a major catalyst for higher stock prices. Secondly, negative investor psychology continues to overhang the marketplace, which presents excellent risk/reward common stock opportunities. Additionally, there remains significant investor cash reserves on the sidelines which could be committed to equities with any potential positive catalysts. Finally, we are optimistic with regard to expanding North American economic activity, resulting in increasing corporate earnings, growing M&A, and company share buyback activity.

Furthermore, central to our investment thesis is a great new wave of innovation which we believe is at the heart of the current investment cycle and will fuel corporate earnings for years to come. Our ABC Funds are strategically positioned with portfolio holdings at the forefront of significant technological advances including artificial intelligence, robotics, spatial computing, and new drug discoveries.

In summary, our investment team remains optimistic on the economic and investment prospects for 2024. As a result, our portfolios are committed to our large capitalization and diversified North American common stock selections.

Irwin A. Michael Signature

Irwin A. Michael, President
I.A. Michael Investment Counsel Ltd.

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